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Metro Vancouver Commuting Patterns

Prompted by a post on the excellent Fraseropolis blog that discussed how much more quickly job growth is occurring in Metro Vancouver’s suburban areas rather than Vancouver itself, I was curious about the commuting patterns of those living on the eastern side of the region.

The point of the Fraseropolis post is that Metro Vancouver is not defined by a single regional core, but by an increasingly widespread array of large employment centres throughout the region. This affects all kinds of things, including transportation planning.

(If you’re not familiar with the geography of Metro Vancouver, see the map below. I’m writing mainly today about the communities on the eastern side of the region. The traditional regional centre is Vancouver on the western edge.)

Source: Metro Vancouver Regional Growth Strategy

The chart below shows the place of work for all employed residents of Maple Ridge (all statistics in this post are from the 2006 Census, which is the most recent available for this data set). As of 2006, just over one-third of Maple Ridge residents worked in their home community while only 8% had a regular place of work in Vancouver. The most popular alternative destinations were other nearby suburbs – Port Coquitlam, Coquitlam, Pitt Meadows and Surrey – along with Burnaby, which is part of the “inner core” of the region.

*As an aside, I’m puzzled as to why there were 45 Maple Ridge residents working in Mascouche, Quebec (a suburb of Montreal). Other than having an allegedly corrupt Mayor, I don’t really know anything about Mascouche and what would draw employees from across the country. The things you find in the Census…..

Next to Maple Ridge is Pitt Meadows, which has a much smaller population base and significantly fewer local employment opportunities. Consequently only 18% of employed Pitt Meadows residents worked in Pitt Meadows, followed by Maple Ridge at 15% and Vancouver at 14%. Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam and Burnaby were also popular work locations.

One interesting point with both Maple Ridge and Pitt Meadows was that very little commuting went south of the Fraser River. Surrey attracted 3% of Maple Ridge residents but did not rank among the top 7 destinations for Pitt Meadows residents. Since 2006 the new Golden Ears Bridge opened to link the Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows area to Surrey, so these percentages will likely increase when the 2011 Census results are available.

The next community to the west is Port Coquitlam. While 22% of employed residents worked in Port Coquitlam, the shorter distance to Vancouver likely helps to explain the higher percentage who commuted there (15%). Surrey and Richmond also show up in the top 7 destinations.

Turning south of the Fraser River, Surrey is the largest municipality in the region other than Vancouver and consistently adds more people every year than any other community in BC. Thirty-eight percent of employed Surrey residents worked in Surrey while Vancouver again ranked 2nd as the destination for 10% of residents. The next four – Delta, Richmond, Burnaby and Langley Township – are all large municipalities reasonably close to Surrey by highway.

Finally, Langley Township is another large and fast-growing municipality on the eastern edge of the region south of the Fraser River. Thirty-seven percent of its residents stayed in their home community to work while 16% went next door to Surrey and 10% worked in Langley City. With the added distance, only 5% of employed residents commuted to Vancouver.

These figures show that even though a relatively modest percentage of residents in Metro Vancouver’s eastern municipalities are commuting to Vancouver, it still ranks in the top 2-4 of employment destinations for each community. And in absolute numbers it’s still a pretty significant number of commuters (more than 31,000 in the five communities profiled above). But the overriding conclusion is just what was suggested in Fraseropolis – that people really are going all over the place to get to work.

For comparison purposes, here is the commuting breakdown for Vancouver residents. It shows a much higher percentage are employed in their home community, but still more than 120,000 Vancouver residents either commute outside the city or have no fixed place of work.

 

Impact of Major Developments in Peachland

Peachland is a small community of about 5,000 people located in the BC Okanagan, just south and across the lake from Kelowna. It’s a beautiful spot, set into the hills overlooking Okanagan Lake and with a fantastic downtown area right on the water.

While other parts of the Okanagan have been growing quickly in the last couple decades, Peachland has grown only modestly. But that is about to change as there are several major developments being planned (one of which is approved) that will increase the population to as much as 14,000 over the next 20-30 years.

Working with Eric Vance & Associates and relying on a detailed demographic analysis prepared by Urban Futures Inc., we examined what this level of growth will mean to Peachland’s municipal finances, employment, retail market and a variety of social factors. The report and executive summary have been released by the District of Peachland here.

The local Peachland News provided a good summary of the results here.

Economic Development Session

Jamie will be teaching one of the sessions at the Western Canada Economic Development Course in Richmond, BC in early June. His session is titled “Economic Analysis & Demonstrating ROI for Economic Development Efforts”.

This is the first time such a course has been held in British Columbia and is based in part on the very successful Northwest Economic Development Course held for many years in Ellensburg, Washington (at which Jamie also presented last year). The course will give students some practical tools for estimating the economic impact of projects in their communities, and also demonstrate how to track local economic performance.

Ucluelet Economic Development Strategy

Jamie will be hosting a workshop this week on the Economic Development Strategy in Ucluelet. Here is the ad running in the local newspaper:


Kootenays lead BC in business growth

The Kootenay region has easily the highest rate of business growth in BC, based on 2010 figures from Statistics Canada’s Business Register. (An explanation and summary of the data is available in this pdf from BC Stats).

The number of business locations in the Kootenay region grew by 6.0% from December 2009 to December 2010, more than doubling the growth rate of any other part of BC. The province overall added 2.1% more business locations.

Table: Business Locations by BC Region, 2009-2010

Region

Dec 2009

Dec 2010

Growth, 09-10

Kootenay

11,205

11,874

6.0%

Nechako

3,308

3,403

2.9%

Mainland/Southwest

221,688

227,559

2.6%

Vancouver Island/Coast

59,648

60,559

1.5%

Thompson/Okanagan

44,196

44,810

1.4%

Northeast

6,918

6,953

0.5%

North Coast

3,372

3,359

-0.4%

Cariboo

11,794

11,363

-3.7%

BC Total

362,665

370,262

2.1%

What types of firms showed such strong growth in the Kootenay? Turns out the high rate of growth is consistent across all sizes of firms. Read more

Comment on Obama’s State of the Nation

One of my former colleagues in the economic development profession and now City Councillor in Surrey, Linda Hepner (@LindaHepner), tweeted the following quote from Obama’s State of the Nation address:

“We need to out-innovate, out-educate and out-build the rest of the world.”

On their face, all of these things seem positive. Innovation? Definitely good. Education? Absolutely good. Building? Well, I’m not sure exactly what he means but I think he’s referring to re-building infrastructure as well as building a sustainable economy, a strong and cohesive society, etc. In that case, great.

But I have a problem with some of the underlying messages in this type of political rhetoric, for two reasons. First is that it suggests that economic development is a zero-sum game, and second, it focuses on relative prosperity rather than absolute prosperity.

Read more

Kelowna Economic Impact Workshop

Jamie will be in Kelowna on February 4 to deliver a 3-hour workshop on economic impact analysis, sponsored by the Central Okanagan Economic Development Commission. The workshop will help local organizations in arts and culture, sports, tourism and other fields learn techniques to evaluate their own economic impacts. Local government officials will also be in attendance to better understand the economic impacts of projects that come across their desks.

Summerland Economic Action Plan

An Economic Development Action Plan that we prepared with the District of Summerland has been released.

Summerland has a well-established economic development function so this plan was constructed to provide some direction to future marketing efforts for the community (focused mainly on the attraction of people), as well as a variety of initiatives to enhance the local business climate. My colleague Janey Cruise of MarketPulse Strategic Direction provided the marketing direction, while some of my background analysis addressed the demographic challenges facing the community.

While there is a strong desire in Summerland to enhance the local economy, when you step back and take a wide view it has so many things going for it, not the least of which is its amazing location in the BC Okanagan. Have a look at this place!

New teaching gig at BCIT

I will be teaching a class in the School of Business at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT) this fall. It won’t be in economics though – I’m teaching Spreadsheets for Managers, which involves a bit of lecturing on economics and business, and then instruction on the practical application of these concepts in Excel. I’m a huge fan of Excel – I had my oldest son doing graphs on the ages of all his relatives when he was 4 – so this should be fun.

Speaking at Ellensburg

I will be speaking at the Northwest Economic Development Course in Ellensburg, Washington in late August.

Operated by the Washington State Department of Commerce and Business Oregon, this course is renowned throughout the US Pacific Northwest and British Columbia as an outstanding training session for economic developers. Read more

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